To : John Alexander, Jr.
From : A. Perkins Kensington
Re : Asian Production Base
Date : February 7, 1995
___________________________________________________________
As you requested, this Memorandum sets forth
the results of my recent tour of Asian economies with the United
States International Chamber of Commerce in light of our recent
discussion on the need for UT to create a production base in Asia.
We visited 8 countries (Japan, China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea,
Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia). In each location we met with
government officials charged with industrial policy and foreign
investment and with representatives of local industry engaged
in our area of business. The trip was a real eye opener for me.
The level of activity and development in East and South-East
Asia is truly stunning. UT needs to capitalize on the opportunities
there by moving forward with the Asian production base we have
discussed for a number of years.
A number of the persons I met in the NIC
countries (Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong and Thailand) were interested
in learning whether UT plans actively to expand into the Asian
markets and in what manner. Industry representatives in each
country were interested in our technologies and cooperation in
their markets but, unfortunately, the level of their domestic
markets, R&D capacity, local operations, service infrastructure
and similar factors would make it difficult for UT to establish
a base of operations in these countries. (There certainly is
no reasonable opportunity for an ìAsian baseî for
our type of organizationís products in the less advanced
Asian industrial countries such as Malaysia, Indonesia and China).
As we have discussed previously, that leaves
Japan. While costs in Japan are very high (and the tax regime
is difficult), Japan appears highly suitable in virtually every
other respect for our type of organization. Among the advantages
are: (i) a very highly educated and motivated managerial and engineering
labor pool (especially available during the current recession),
(ii) a stable political and economic environment, (iii) close
proximity to many of our non-U.S. customers, (iv) readily available
capital at low rates, (v) no limitations on foreign exchange remittance
and repatriation of capital, and (vi) highly developed communications
facilities for close coordination with the head office. My conclusion
is that we have little alternative but to locate our production
base in Japan soon if we hope to have a viable long-term base
in East Asia.
As we have discussed, our main problem is
capital. As Allan Ketchi mentioned at last quarterís planning
meeting, we have exhausted our regular financing lines, are fully
committed on capital allocations for domestic projects through
the next 3 years and are too much leveraged to go to Wall Street
with a bond offering having a coupon which would give the kinds
of return we are seeking. I see little alternative but to seek
a partner in Japan which sufficient resources to handle our needs.
Allanís projections of the costs of the kind of facility
we have been looking at indicate that to set up the precision
machinery manufacturing plant, processing and packaging warehouses
and R&D laboratories for the next generation of precision
machine tools we want to produce will require investments of between
$500 million and $700 million over five years. This will mean
we need a very big and well heeled partner.
While I was in Tokyo I spoke with senior
officers of most of the distributors and customers we use for
our product lines there. As usual most of them were polite but
seemed unenthusiastic about our setting up a facility in Japan
(too many relationships to protect). The only exception was Yasuda.
As a trading company, Yasudaís people are very pragmatic
about business and they seem to understand the potential in Asia
which we believe is there. They even seemed to accept that a
full-scale facility might be needed in Japan to service the Asian
market including Japan.
They also are very interested in our Microscopic
Integrated Precision Industrial Tool (ìMIPITî) technology.
Ike Hosomi even suggested (jokingly) that he would like to have
exclusive distribution rights for Asia when we go to production
of bio-engineering and medical applications using the technology.
I told him we would have to have a lot closer relationship with
a company before we would consider making that sort of commitment.
After reviewing our other relationships
in Japan, I think Yasuda is our best chance given what we want
to accomplish. They have a very deep market penetration in Japan
and Asia, lots of financial clout and great relationships with
most of the Japanese consumers of our product (including hospitals,
universities, medical laboratories and biotechnology firms).
They also need us since they have almost no controlled production,
little precision manufacturing technology (other than a few manufacturing
patents on industrial machine tools) and virtually no R&D
capability. The real question is to what extent they wish to get
into the production side and the degree of their readiness to
make a long-term capital commitment.
You may want to talk to Hosomi about our
ideas next week when you are in London. He told me he will be
at the Annual World Precision Tool Development Conference at which
I understand you are to speak. In the meantime, I will brief
Ketchi and Uri about my trip and Yasudaís interest separately.
Iíll also mention the project to Blackacre since its probably
best to get legal involved early with a project of this magnitude.
Please let me know if you have any questions
about my trip. Have a good trip to London.
Perky